Surviving Recession in Trucking

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Surviving Recession in Trucking

With some economists predicting that the United States will enter a recession in the first half of 2023, a panel of experts at the American Trucking Associations' Management Conference & Exhibition urged trucking companies to prepare now for a possible economic downturn by maintaining intense levels of cash flow and, most importantly, avoiding panic if a recession in trucking occurs. According to Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Freight, Transportation, and Logistics analyst Lee Klaskow, the economy will be classified as a recession early in 2023. Still, it will be a curtailed downturn that will give signs of revival by the end of 2023.

The purchase of fuel is, without a doubt, the most expensive expense encountered by any small trucking firm. And, given what has transpired with fuel costs in recent months in an alarmingly volatile fuel market, small trucking companies need all the help they can get here. Well-managed fuel programs can provide excellent prospects for fuel savings.

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Moreover, managing operational costs in Trucking may entail both driving and working as a fleet administrator. Alternatively, DVIR information can be used to schedule vehicle maintenance and reduce unexpected repair costs.

• To survive in the trucking industry, consider these things.

• Provide excellent service to your consumers.

• Keep your expenses under control.

• Take care of your truck drivers and owners' operators.

• Manage your receivables

Surviving Recession in Trucking

• Take charge of your fuel bills by using a fuel card that is proven to save you money.

• Automate your invoicing to save time and increase your cash flow.

• When necessary, factoring can provide you with the funds required to function.

• Provide your truck drivers with the tools they need to do their duties.

Demand for Truckers Dwindles

The need for Trucking has taken an unexpected turn. According to Bank of America, shipping demand is "near freight recession levels," and the prospects for freight capacity, inventory levels, and shipper prices are trending in the same way as they were in the summer of 2020, at the height of the COVID-19 shutdown. According to Ken Hoexter, managing director of Bank of America, in a recent investor's note, a survey indicated that demand for transportation is down 23% year over year (y/y), and the Truckload Demand Indicator plummeted to '58', the lowest it's been since June 2020. So, what does all of this indicate for the economy's future? Let’s dig deeper into this.

Over the years, the trucking industry has proven to be a dependable indicator of the health of the US economy. It's simple math: when consumer spending falls, businesses buy less, and the trucking industry suffers. Since 1972, the trucking industry has seen 12 recessions, six resulting in more significant economic concerns. As the Federal Reserve seeks to reduce inflation, there is rising anxiety about another recession affecting the trucking industry and the general economy.

Risks to Trucking Companies in Recession

• Truckers are confronting an existential crisis due to skyrocketing fuel prices.

• Rising diesel prices have compelled many owner-operators to seek the security of business driving.

• According to the American Trucking Association, a trade organization, trucking companies in the United States saw a record deficit of 80,000 truck drivers last year. Since trucks transport 72 percent of American freight, a driver shortage would cause significant inconvenience.

How to Survive the Recession in Trucking Industry?

Many of you in the trucking sector had prosperous years in 2017 and 2018. One element that contributed to this achievement was the intense concentration on same-day or next-day delivery services, which raised expectations and demand for truckers. As giant firms move their delivery services in-house and what appears to be a slowing economy becomes increasingly apparent, the trucking industry is feeling the effects of weaker demand. The only way to battle the shift in demand and recession-proof your firm is to manage by the numbers, micro-control your cost-per-mile, increase your retention efforts with a pay-for-performance plan, and get out from behind your desk.

Moreover, Pay-For-Performance is another way of saying; People should be paid a reasonable wage, with the majority of what they can earn based on the productivity and outcomes of their particular function, as well as the overall success of the organization. Your truck drivers' remuneration should not be based on their safety or on-time delivery; that is their job! Driver incentives must be implemented.

Conclusion

There's no doubt that the trucking industry is experiencing the effects of shifting demand and a looming recession, but you should expect this company to be cyclical. You'll be taking proactive steps to reduce any negative impact on your business (and earnings) by continually measuring your cost-per-mile, managing by the numbers, boosting your retention efforts, and stepping out from behind your desk! Throughout this blog, we have discussed the recession in the trucking industry, the risks businesses face due to the recession, and how to survive in the industry.

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